台灣地區商品出口對經濟發展之影響

The Role of Commodity Exports in Taiwan's Economic Development

台灣地區市場狹小，出口是創造有效需求，提高經濟成長之動力。近年來受到亞洲金融風暴及全球經濟持續低迷影響，出口擴張已不如70年代的快速，出口成長趨緩自然影響經濟發展。本文以產業關聯模型，就我國自民國75年至90年之商品出口變化分析其對國內經濟之影響程度。結果顯示資訊電子產業依賴進口原材物料投入比例很高，扣除進口中間原料之負向效果之後，資訊電子產業出口對經濟成長的貢獻相對不高。

Export-oriented policies are considered as one of the most important factor behind Taiwan's economic development. In the 1980’s, exports expanded rapidly and made a substantial contribution to the high economic growth. However, during the Asian financial crisis and the recent global recession, export growth slowed down. This paper applies an input-output model to measure the impact of commodity export change on the domestic economy from 1986 to 2001. The author finds that the contribution of information and electronics exports to the domestic economy is insignificant. The main reason is that both industries rely heavily on imported inputs, which offset the export effect of their output.