川普時代亞太區域經濟整合與全球金融情勢之前瞻

Previewing the Development of Asia-Pacific Regional Economic Integration and Global Financial Markets in the Era of Trump

唐納•川普（Donald Trump）上任後，其非美國典型的經濟與外交政策，使全球政經關係與經貿發展存在許多變數。本文從川普的政見主軸為出發點，剖析川普時代的亞太經濟發展與區域整合概況，並前瞻全球金融市場情勢與美國金融監理動向。本文提出相關建議包括：一、持續完成跨太平洋夥伴協定（TPP）相關經貿法規盤點，掌握與美國貿易互動的基礎；二、正視中國大陸在亞太區域經貿體系之角色，掌握融入亞太區域經濟整合的契機；三、透過新南向政策深化與成員國之往來互動提高與亞太地區之經貿連結；四、金融監理態度宜兼顧台灣產業發展及創新趨勢。

After Donald Trump assumed the presidency, his untraditional American-type economic and foreign policies have made global economic relationships and trading activities uncertain. The article analyzes the possible development of the Asia-Pacific regional economic integration in the era of Trump, and previews the global financial market situation and the trend of US financial supervision. The article provides following recommendations. First, the government should continue to go through and review the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) related economic and trading regulations, to master the basic principles of trading with the US. Second, the government should face up to the role of mainland China in the Asia-Pacific regional economic and trade system, to grape opportunities being one of the Asia-Pacific regional economic partners. Third, the government could deepen interaction with member countries through well performing the New Southbound Policy, to tighten economic and trade links with economies in Asia-Pacific area. Fourth, financial supervision should take into account Taiwan's industrial development and innovation trends.