科大學生在兩岸交流互信崩解與地方派系式微後的投票取向：以屏東為例

Students' Voting Preference from Students of Universities of Science and Technology Regarding the Recent Collapse of Cross-Strait Exchange, Mutual Trust, and the Decline of Local Factions: The Case Study of Pingtung

以兩岸交流互信瀕臨崩解為前提，本研究證實在屏東的科大學生普遍認為自己是台灣人而非中國人，兩岸關係是國際關係而不是國內關係，對中國文化的認同也在降低之中。然而，加入派系這個變數後可了解，雖然國民黨在選舉中已朝向「結構性崩解」發展，但地方政治的發展與運作並非是鐵板一塊，政治人物「綠皮藍骨」者所在多有，地方政府不熱衷兩岸交流也不見得是常態。本文認為，當兩岸衝突漸趨和緩之後，大膽西進的言論與動作或也將會伴隨提升。

On the premise that cross-strait exchanges and mutual trust are on the verge of collapse, this study confirms that students of science and technology in Pingtung generally identify themselves as Taiwanese rather than Chinese, believing that cross-strait relation is an international issue, not a domestic one. Additionally, it is found that their national identification with Chinese culture is also declining. However, after adding the variable of faction, we realize that despite that the Kuomintang party’s election has developed towards“structural disintegration”, the development and operation of local politics is not monolithic. There are many political figures with pan-green grassroots and those with pro-China policy, and it is not necessarily the norm that local governments are not enthusiastic about cross-strait exchanges. When the cross-strait conflict gradually eases, the provocative words and actions of the bold westbound move will also increase.