中國介入2024年台灣總統大選的意義與影響之研究

The Significance and Impact of China's Interference in the 2024 Taiwan Presidential Election

2024年1月13日舉行的台灣總統大選，代表民進黨參選的賴清德，擊敗國民黨籍的侯友宜與台灣民眾黨籍的柯文哲。原本企業家郭台銘也有意參選，但在2023年8月宣布投入選戰後就受到中國強大的壓力，甚至他在中國的企業遭到查稅，最後被迫退出；因為如果非民進黨的陣營有3位候選人，則賴清德的當選機率大增。到了11月，「馬英九基金會」執行長蕭旭岑在訪問中國回台後，在馬英九在15日的見證下，柯文哲與侯友宜達成「六點共識」，從內容來看是對侯友宜有利，因此外界認為是中國希望柯文哲能與國民黨整合成一組候選人，擔任侯友宜的副總統。但該共識在簽署後卻遭到柯文哲陣營的反對，最後破局。中國這次明目張膽的介入台灣總統選舉，凸顯「防衛性民主」的重要性。

In Taiwan’s Presidential Election held on January 13, 2024, Lai Ching-te, who ran for the Democratic Progressive Party, defeated Hou Yu-ih of the Kuomintang and Ko Wen-je of the Taiwan People's Party. Originally, Terry Gou, an entrepreneur, also intended to run for president. However, after announcing his candidacy in August 2023, he became under strong pressure from China. Even his business in China was subject to tax audits and he was eventually forced to withdraw from the election. Because if there were three candidates from the non-DPP camp, Lai Ching-te’s chance of being elected would increase significantly. In November of the same year, after Hsiao Hsu-tsen, the CEO of the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation, returned to Taiwan from a visit to China, Ko Wen-je and Hou Yu-ih reached a“six-point consensus”under the witness of Ma Ying-jeou on the 15th. In terms of the content, this consensus was in favor of Hou Yu-ih. As a result, the outside world believed that China hoped Ko Wen-je could integrate with the Kuomintang to form a team of candidates and serve as Hou Yu-ih's vice president. However, after the consensus was signed, it was opposed by Ko Wen-je's camp, and the cooperation between the two parties finally broke down. China's blatant interference in Taiwan's presidential election accentuates the importance of“defensive democracy.”