歸納法與發展視野：安士敦對台灣及其他地區的研究

Inductive Method and Development Perspective: Alice H. Amsden on Taiwan and Beyond

本文探討安士敦（Alice H. Amsden）如何發展她的經濟發展理論，評價她的貢獻，並以她對台灣的研究為例。她正是從台灣開啟了她此方面的研究，先調查研究了台灣的工具機產業，然後逐步擴大涵蓋範圍，包括與筆者合作研究台灣如何升級進入高科技產業。她並沒有運用通行的靜態演繹法，而是採用歸納法，從個體微觀層次到國家模式，再擴大到區域與整體後進國。依據這方法及後進發展視野，她從後進國的發展歷程中推導出有價值的經驗教訓，並據此修正了既有的理論。她的貢獻至今仍有現實意義，並應可適用於中國大陸。

This paper explores how Alice H. Amsden developed her theory and evaluates her contributions, using the case of her work on Taiwan, where she began her quest for understanding late development. On Taiwan, she first studied its machine tool industry, and gradually broadened the scope, including a collaborative work with the author on Taiwan’s upgrading into high-tech. Contrary to the prevalent static deductive method, Amsden used an inductive approach based on studies of country models, which in turn are based on micro-level studies. By adopting this method along with a development perspective, she was able to induce valuable lessons from latecomer experiences and modify existing theories accordingly. Her works hence are still relevant today and arguably applicable to contemporary China as well.