強軍圍中──美國面對灰色衝突之軍事轉型與聯盟體系

Strengthening Military and Encircling China: The U.S. Military Transformation and Alliance System in the Face of Gray Conflict

美國總統拜登的國家安全戰略旨在維護「基於規則的國際體系」優勢地位，又要在「灰色區域」面對競爭者或潛在對手的不對稱優勢。本研究認為美國尋求維護現有的基於規則規範與原則，包括軍事轉型與強化基礎建設之外，國際層面上涉及提升軍力與強化與建立聯盟之均勢作為，以及與包括中國在內的各種政府（無論為民主亦或者集權國家）達成協議的傳統外交途徑，從軍事轉型之「強軍」作為，在印太地區建構以整合嚇阻為基石之「圍中」戰略架構，與盟國及合作夥伴伴朝向建構軍事聯盟相互操作性之目標。惟在俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭後，需要在關切中國在美俄之間所扮演角色與轉變，以及美國是否修正對於中國的認知與政策。

U.S. President Joe Biden’s national security strategy aims to preserve the dominance of the “rule-based international system” while confronting the asymmetric advantages of competitors or potential adversaries in the “gray area.” This article argues that the U.S. seeks to uphold existing rule-based norms and principles, including military transformation and infrastructure strengthening. The U.S. is strengthening its “strong military” approach to military transformation, building a strategic framework in the Indo-Pacific region with integrated deterrence as the cornerstone, and cooperating with allies and partners toward building interoperability in military alliances. However, after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, we need to pay more attention to China’s role and changes between the U.S. and Russia, and whether the U.S. will revise its perception and policy toward China.