拜登上台一年的台中美關係

Taiwan-China-United States Relations One Year into the Biden Presidency

首先，我們檢視顧台中美三角關係的最新發展，包括拜登主義的醞釀、以及當下拜登的戰略觀。接著，觀察中美關係，包括美國對於中國的看法、中國的大戰略、以及最新的澳英美聯盟。再來，檢視美台關係，包括是否由戰略模糊走向戰略清晰、美國撤軍阿富汗對台灣的啟示。我們進而探究台中關係，包括中國的「習五條」、國民黨的「九二共識」苦戀、及蔡英文國慶談話以來。最後，我們以未來台中關係定位可能走向的探索做結論。

We begin with the exploration of the latest development of the triangular Taiwan-China-Unites States relationships, including the emerging Biden Doctrine, and Biden’s strategic view. We further observe the current China-United States relations, focusing on China’s view of the United States, China’s grand strategy, and the AUKUS. We then look into the United States-Taiwan relations by way of scrutinizing whether American strategy on Taiwan has move from ambiguity toward clarity, and what implications the withdrawal of United States troops from Afghanistan may have implications may have for Taiwan. Finally, we examine China’s “Two Systems Solution to the Taiwan Question,” Nationalist Chinese obsession of the so-called “1992 Consensus,” and the ruling DPP administration’s stance since President Tsai Ing-wen’s Double Tenth Day speech. We conclude by delving into possible arrangements between China and Taiwan.