東協推動信心建立措施的困境與作法：從國際關係三大理論分析

Predicaments and Strategies of ASEAN Confidence-Building Measures: Perspectives of International Relations Theories

本文採取綜合分析的方式，透過國際關係新現實主義、新自由制度主義與社會建構主義理論之觀點，逐一解析當前東協推動區域CBMs相關問題，並從理論應用的角度出發，進一步推論霸權穩定、威脅平衡、權力平衡、集體安全、國際制度、區域整合、民主和平與安全共同體等八項次級理論，作為全面改善「東協方式」的實踐途徑。研究發現，各理論途徑對問題關切之焦點各異，突顯出東協推動區域CBMs問題的不同面向，而針對問題所淬取出之改善對策亦不盡相同，適足以作為思考區域安全合作的新起點。進一步言，研究途徑作為分析問題的重要工具，不同的研究途徑提供不同面向的觀察結果，有助於擴展國際關係研究的廣度與深度，使學術研究的成果更能貼近國際事務相關之實踐。因此，純就學理分析來說，各理論彼此間價值與貢 獻實無熟重熟輕之別；但若將各項理論拉回國際現實之脈絡，窮究其相關作法與配套措施，各途徑卻存在適用方面程度不一的落差。本文認為，評估當前亞太區域安全趨勢，安全共同體仍是較務實的改善途徑，其發展亦將備受各國政府與學界持續關注

This article aims to synthetically analyze the predicaments of ASEAM Confidence-Building Measures through Neorealism, Neo-liberal Institutionalism and Constructivism. Based on the analyses, this article also develops eight sub-theories to be improvement strategies for ASEAM way, including hegemonic stability, balance of threat, balance of power, collective security, international institution, regional integration, democratic peace and security community. This study concludes that each IR theory has its own analysis and correspondent improvement strategies which can be the new beginning about thinking regional security cooperation. Furthermore, because different theory can provide different aspect of observation, synthetic analyses help to advance breath and depth of IR study and make academic works more fit in with the real world. Even though no any theory more valuable than another, there are still some differences among them as we concern each theoretical strategy with international realm. Given the contemporary Asia-pacific regional situation, security community would be still more realistic strategy.