結構穩定性對動態新關係形成之影響：局部結構的網絡分析方法

The Influence of Structural Stability on Dynamic New Tie Formation: A Local-Based Network Analytic Approach

本研究以社會網絡理論中的結構平衡觀點，並以行動者整體網絡之局部結構穩定性的有無與強弱程度，探討對動態新關係形成之影響。藉由驗證與比較經濟性之聯盟關係與社會性之友誼關係，本研究發現，在「一致性的潛在結構平衡」狀態下：夥伴的夥伴（經濟性關係）與朋友的朋友（社會性關係），會是未來的新夥伴與新朋友之可能性，遠比「一致性的結構不平衡」的狀態下來得高。在「衝突性的潛在結構平衡」狀態下，在經濟性的聯盟關係形成方面，競爭者的競爭者，很有可能會成為未來的新合作夥伴；但此可能性並未比「衝突性的潛在結構不平衡」的狀態下來得高。在社會性的友誼關係形成方面，在「衝突性的潛在結構平衡」的狀態下，敵人的敵人並不會是未來的新朋友，且此可能性在平衡狀態下與不平衡的狀態下，並無顯著差異。最後，在「潛在結構平衡的差異性比較」中，一致性的潛在結構平衡，相較於衝突性的潛在結構平衡，在未來新聯盟關係形成上，有較高的可能性；然而，在友誼關係中，並未有類似的結果發現。

In this study, we adopt a structural balance perspective to examine how the extent of structural stability influences a dynamic new tie formation based on a local-based network analytic approach. By comparing structures of alliance (economic relation) and friendship (social relation), this study yields two major findings. First, under the agreed-upon potential-structural-balance situation, a partner's partner (i.e., economic relation) and a friend's friend (i.e., social relation) have a higher probability of being new mutual partners and friends in the future than a partner's partner and a friend's friend in unbalanced situations. Second, under the conflicting potential-structural-balance situation, a competitor's competitor (economic relation) could be a new partner in the future. The possibility of being a new future partner in this situation, however, is not significantly higher than such a possibility in an unbalanced situation. In contrast, under the conflicting potential-structural- balance situation, an enemy's enemy (social relation) probably would not be a new friend in the future and there is no significant difference, in terms of possibility, between conflicting potential-structural-balanced and unbalanced situations. Last but not least, for comparing the difference between agreed-upon and conflicting potential-structural-balance cases, the possibility of a dynamic alliance formation in the agreed-upon potential-structure- balance situation is higher than that in a conflicting one, while the possibility of a difference between agreed-upon and conflicting situations for dynamic friendship formation is not found at all.