從宏都拉斯政變看拉美民主發展

Honduras' ''Coup'' and It's Impact on Latin America's Democracy

2009年6月28日宏都拉斯前總統賽拉亞（JoséManuel Zelaya）遭罷黜流亡國外後由國會議長米契列地（Roberto Micheletti）接任總統成為二十一世紀中美洲地區的第一次政變。究其主因大致有二，其一為「程序民主」和「實質民主」間有相當落差；其二為對憲政體制及選舉制度兩項「憲政工程」無法達成共識。政變影響有三:一為恐掀起拉美「民主回潮」，二為加深美國兩黨政治對立，三為宏國民主發展恐將成歐巴馬對拉美關係上的「有毒資產」。

After ex-president of Honduras Manuel Zelaya was ousted on June 28, 2009, the president of Congress Roberto Micheletti was sworn in as country's interim President. It became the first Central America's coup in the 21st Century Coup. There are two main reasons led to the event. First, there is a big gap between procedural democracy and substantial democracy. Second, there is no consensus between constitutionalsystem and electoral system. Three impacts of Honduras coup are: increasing possibility of democratic reverse wave in Latin America, deepening confrontation between US Republic and Democratic parties, and transforming as toxic asset for Obama's policy toward Latin America.