中日関係の40年とその変遷－－1972年から2012年まで

中日關係40年的歷史變遷及其分析－－從1972年到2012年（Changes in the Relations between Japan and China: From 1972 to 2012）

今年（2012年）是中日關係正常化40周年，從當年田中角榮前首相訪問中國大陸至今，兩國關係，無論是在經貿、外交、或是安全戰略等，皆出現相當大的轉變與對比。中日雙方確定2012年為「中日國民交流友好年」的口號－「新的相遇，心的紐帶」（新たな出会い，心の絆），說明中日已經從單純的雙邊關係發展到相互依存的互動關係，也意味中日關係將有新的發展。然而，兩國在全球或東亞戰略競爭關係上出現微妙的變化，也有可能導致雙方在政治或安全層面出現結構性矛盾。因此，基於化解這樣的可能性，中日雙方雖然不可避免地因為歷史、領土等因素而出現不同的摩擦和衝突，然而兩國領導人還是必須透過政治智慧來降低中日及東亞區域政治與安全的不穩定風險。

This year (2012) is the 40th anniversary of the normalization of diplomatic relations between China and Japan. After the shock visit to China by Japanese former Prime Minister Kakuei Tanaka, relations between China and Japan since then has had considerable changes and contrasts, whether in economy, foreign trade, diplomatic affairs, or security and strategic relations. As 2012 is the 'Friendship Year for Japan-China People-to-People Exchanges', Sino-Japan relations have developed from the bilateral relations to interdependent relationships. However, subtle changes in the strategic competition between the two countries may lead to a structural contradiction in political or security issues. Therefore, although potential conflicts could arise from historical and territory issues, both sides should exercise political wisdom and seek to develop a stable and future-oriented Sino-Japanese relations.