英文摘要 |
In response to operation readiness, disaster prevention, disaster relief, transportation and a variety of different mission requirements, the demand for helicopter maintenance is keeping increased, but the part failures highly affect flights and missions. If we can create prediction systems for the helicopters’ critical parts failures, so as to perform maintenance before the failure occurs, and that system will help to reduce the rate of flight delays caused by unpredictable failures. The creation may serve as a reference for our Armed Forces to manage its maintenance and spare parts. This study takes the main rotor blade used on the helicopters as an example. At the beginning, it uses Delphi Method to prepare the first expert questionnaire to collect the key factors affecting the life of the main rotor blades. After that, the study uses Likert five-point scale to score the expert questionnaires, and, in accordance with experts’ consistency index, Further, the data of main rotor blade maintenance performing during year 2012 to 2014 is used as samples to be loaded into back-propagation neural network software (Neuro Intelligence) to test the relationship between input and output to build predictive models. The number set is used as BPN prediction criteria in order to predict the usage life of a main rotor blade after installation. After learning and training by the inverted neural network software, the relevance (Correlation) and mode of fit (R-squared) reaches 0.999386 and 0.998655, respectively, and the accuracy of prediction is as high as 97%, and that proves back-propagation neural network is indeed an effective method to predict the life of helicopter parts. |