“一帶一路”背景下泛亞歐經濟夥伴關係研究

Trans-Asia-Europe Economic Partnership under the Background of the Belt and the Road

“一帶一路”倡議是跨區域經濟合作的重大戰略構想，中亞處於實施該戰略的關鍵區域。但是，我國尚未與任何中亞國家簽署自貿協定，而俄羅斯主導的歐亞經濟聯盟已經啟動。為落實絲綢之路經濟帶戰略，實現與歐亞經濟聯盟的對接，加深與中亞的經貿關係，本文提出可構建一個由中、俄、印及中亞國家組成的泛歐亞經濟夥伴關係，旨在依托上海合作組織和歐亞經濟聯盟打通中亞。相比上合組織自貿區，泛亞歐經濟夥伴關係實現了與歐亞經濟聯盟的兼容，多方制衡的結構也有助於緩解相互戒備。相比歐亞經濟聯盟，泛亞歐經濟夥伴關係在經濟帶動力、貿易潛力和互補性等方面更具優勢，有助於兩者相互借重和共同發展。

The Belt and the Road initiative is a significant strategy to promote transregional economic corporation with Central Asia as a key area. However, China has not yet concluded any free trade agreement with any Central Asia country, while the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), leaded by Russia, has been officially launched. With the purpose to bring the Silk Road Economic Belt strategy into practice, to realize its integration with EAEU, and to deepen China's economic and trade relation with Central Asia countries, this paper suggests establishing a Trans-Asia-Europe Economic Partnership (TAEEP). With Central Asia, Russia, India and China as members, TAEEP aims to promote China's communication and interaction with Central Asia with the support of EAEU and Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). In contrast with SCO Free Trade Area, TAEEP is compatible with Eurasian Economic Union and the system of checks and balances is beneficial to decreasing vigilance against each other. Compared with EAEU, TAEEP has the edge in economic driving ability, trade potential and complementarity. Thus EAEU and TAEEP can rely on each other and seek common development.