所得分配、執政黨派與社會福利支出 湯

Income Distribution, Partisan Politics and Social Welfare Expenditur

本研究採用實證分析方法，建立我國之黨派政治模型（partisan politics model），利用Prais-Winsten迴歸方程式進行時間序列分析，以解釋我國社會福利支出占GDP 份額與執政黨派及所得分配等總體經濟指標之間的關連性。實證結果顯示，我國社會福利支出占GDP 份額明顯受到執政黨屬性與人均GDP 的影響。

This study applies the empirical analysis method to establish the partisan politics model of Taiwan. By the Prais-Winsten stepwise regression of stationary time series data, this study attempts to inspect the relevance between the social welfare expenditure share of GDP and the partisan politics. The result of this study demonstrates that social welfare expenditure share of GDP has obviously been affected by partisan politics and per capita GDP.