月旦知識庫
月旦知識庫 會員登入元照網路書店月旦品評家
 
 
  1. 熱門:
首頁 臺灣期刊   法律   公行政治   醫事相關   財經   社會學   教育   其他 大陸期刊   核心   重要期刊 DOI文章
商管科技季刊 本站僅提供期刊文獻檢索。
  【月旦知識庫】是否收錄該篇全文,敬請【登入】查詢為準。
最新【購點活動】


篇名
政策破壞下之房市宏觀審慎治理-建商個案證據與「特許化×評鑑制×差別信貸」三支柱框架
並列篇名
Policy Induced Disruption in Macroprudential Housing Governance Developer Side Evidence and a Three Pillar Framework of S ectoral Licensing, Builder Rating, and Differentiated Credit
作者 林紹詳盧憶蔡維哲
中文摘要

本研究以「政策誘發之破壞(Policy-Induced Disruption,以下簡稱『政策破壞』,指制度規則之結構性改寫與資源取得條件之重寫,非政策價值評斷)」視角,分析宏觀審慎房市措施(選擇性信用管制、升息、存款準備率上調)對建商融資與現金流的影響。採質性單一個案設計(A公司),涵蓋期間為2014-2025年,結合文件、半結構式訪談與同業對照,並採用Pre-Post、同業基準與中斷時間序列(ITS)的三重評估設計,重建「政策事件→公司行動→財務結果」鏈條。結果顯示:A公司透過固定利率公司債/可轉債與聯貸/票券的組合,加上到期牆分散與備用流動性,擴張授信額度並降低資金成本(平均借款利率(含債)由2.74%降至2025年8月2.60%),同時縮短決策時滯並降低12/24月到期牆集中度,在量縮與利率上行下維持營運韌性。本文補充建商端制度情境(資訊揭露、授信集中度)之脈絡說明,並將核心指標之操作型定義與更新頻率彙整於附錄二〈Measurement Codebook〉,同時界定外部效度邊界與可移植條件。據此提出三支柱治理方案:特許化(準入)× 建商評鑑制(分級)× 差別化信貸(風險分層),以準入與評級連動LTV與定價,並設定固定利率最低配比與到期牆上限作為風險配額規則,兼顧總體穩定與資金配置效率。

英文摘要

This study adopts a policy-induced disruption lens, defining policy disruption as a structural rewriting of institutional rules and resource-access conditions rather than a value judgment on policy, to examine how macroprudential housing measures (selective credit controls, policy-rate hikes, and higher reserve requirements) reshaped developers’ financing conditions and cash-flow risks. Using a qualitative single-case design focused on Company A over 2014-2025, and drawing on documents, semi-structured interviews, and peer benchmarking, the study triangulates evidence through pre-post comparison, peer benchmarking, and interrupted time-series inspection to reconstruct the chain from policy events to corporate responses and financial outcomes. The findings show that Company A relied on a coordinated mix of fixed-rate corporate and convertible bonds, syndicated loans, and commercial paper, together with maturity-wall diversification and standby liquidity buffers, to expand credit headroom while containing debt-inclusive borrowing costs. Its weighted average borrowing rate declined from 2.74% to 2.60% as of August 2025, decision latency shortened, and 12/24-month maturity-wall concentration eased, allowing the firm to preserve operating resilience under tightening conditions. Building on these findings, the study proposes a three-pillar governance framework of sectoral licensing, builder rating, and differentiated credit, linking entry and rating status to LTV, pricing, fixed-rate floors, and maturity-wall caps. This framework offers a more risk-sensitive alternative to one-size-fits-all quantity controls and seeks to balance macro-financial stability with more efficient credit allocation.

起訖頁 001-061
關鍵詞 政策誘發之破壞(政策破壞)宏觀審慎建商評鑑制差別化信貸平均借款利率(含債)
刊名 商管科技季刊  
期數 202603 (27:1期)
出版單位 教育部
該期刊-下一篇 從娛樂到背書-網紅職能、信任與網路口碑之ELM模型驗證-以分裂的數位政治市場為例
 

新書閱讀



最新影音


優惠活動




讀者服務專線:+886-2-23756688 傳真:+886-2-23318496
地址:臺北市館前路28 號 7 樓 客服信箱
Copyright © 元照出版 All rights reserved. 版權所有,禁止轉貼節錄