The Arrow (1962) replacement effect shows that an incumbent monopolist has less incentive to pursue process innovations than a potential entrant, no matter what the innovation size. In contrast, the Gilbert and Newbery (1982) efficiency effect shows that the incumbent’s incentive to pursue a non-drastic innovation is higher and that both firms have equal incentives to pursue a drastic innovation. Hotelling’s linear city model is used in this study to describe horizontal and vertical differentiation between old and new products. The purpose is to examine the relative incentives of the incumbent monopolist vs a potential entrant to pursue product innovations and whether the results differ from those obtained by Arrow and those obtained by Gilbert and Newbery. The results of the numerical analysis show large qualitative difference. There are two key reasons for this; one is related to the criterion used to classify innovations as non-drastic or drastic, and the other is related to the innovating incumbent’s choice.