評估公共安全和台灣軍隊信任度：2022年中國軍演後之分析

Assessing Public Safety and Trust in the Taiwanese Military: An Analysis of Post-2022 China Drills

公共安全依賴於穩健的法治、高效的治理與精實的國防力量。若缺乏這些要素，社會信任將逐漸瓦解，進而影響國家經濟發展。儘管軍隊在維護國家安全中扮演關鍵角色，針對軍隊政治信任的學術研究在臺灣這樣的民主國家卻相對有限。臺灣面臨來自中國的特殊安全挑戰，因此，民眾對軍隊的信任成為威懾外部威脅與維繫國內穩定的重要基石。2022年中國軍事演習進一步加劇兩岸緊張情勢，突顯出強化民眾信任以支持國防政策及確保文人對軍隊的有效監督之必要性。本文探討在此情勢下影響臺灣民眾對軍隊信任的相關因素。統計結果顯示，公共安全感受、中國威脅、政府信任及民主治理品質是影響信任程度的四大核心因素。理解這些因素的交互作用，對於制定促進國家安全並提升民眾對軍隊信心的政策具有關鍵意義。

Public safety depends on a strong rule of law, efficient governance, and a capable military. Without these elements, trust erodes, and economic growth suf-fers. Despite its critical role in national security, research on political trust in the military, especially in democracies like Taiwan, is limited. Taiwan faces a unique security challenge from China, making trust in its military indispensable for de-terrence and domestic stability. The 2022 Chinese military drills intensified ten-sions, underscoring the need for robust public trust to support defense policies and maintain civilian control over the military. This study explores the factors influencing public trust in the Taiwanese military in light of these recent devel-opments. Statistical evidence suggests that four key factors play a role: public safety, the China threat, government trust, and democratic governance. Under-standing these dynamics is crucial for formulating policies that bolster national security and public confidence in the military.