藥物成癮者動態復發風險量表建立之研究

Research on the Establishment of Dynamic Relapse Risk Assessment Scale for Substance Abusers

藥物成癮常難改善，本研究之目的在發展動態復發風險評估量表。男女各245與67人，可分四量表。（1）男生3個月復發率為7.8%。預測量表七題，全距為0~17，預測效度為r=.38及ROC=.77，屬中高預測效度。（2）男生6個月復發率為15.1%，預測量表三題，全距為0~2，預測效度為r=.20及ROC=.64，屬低度預測效度。（3）女生3個月復發率為5.1%，預測量表四題，全距為0~17，預測效度為r=.43及ROC=.77，屬中高預測效度。（4）女生6個月復發率為10.4%，預測量表二題，全距為0~11。預測效度為r=.47及ROC=.75，屬中度預測效度。筆者建議給成癮者的監督與治療均能以此量表分級後規劃改善其自信及與家人連結以降低復發。

Substance abusers are hard to be treated. The purpose of this study was to develop a dynamic risk assessment scale. Totally 312 samples were collected. Four scales were formed as follows: (1) The 3-month re-use rate of males was 7.8%. There are seven items in the prediction scale, the prediction validity is r=.38 and ROC=.77, belonged to the moderately high prediction validity. (2) The 6-month remedication rate of males was 15.1%. The three-item prediction scale was formed and the prediction validity was r=.20 and ROC=.64, belonged to low prediction. Validity. (3) The 3-month re-use rate of females was 5.1%. The four-item prediction scale was formed and the prediction validity was r=.43 and ROC=.77, belonged to moderately high prediction validity. (4) The re-use rate of females at 6 months was 10.4%, and the prediction scale was 2 questions and the predictive validity was r=.47 and ROC=.75, belonged to moderate predictive validity. The suggests proposed in the end.