英文摘要 |
Over the past five years, the global economy has been impacted by the U.S.-China economic conflict, the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the personnel and policy changes in China, which have further resulted in the restructuring of global supply chains, conflicts between democracy and authoritarianism, inflation, the rapid shifting of international capital, and the decline in growth momentum. Global manufacturing activity is weakening. There are signs of easing inflation and resilient economic performance in the U.S. Europe is entering a mild recession. China is experiencing a slowdown in its recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Many emerging markets continue to struggle with heavy debt burdens and high interest rates. At present, the major issue facing the global economy is whether or not the world can continue to avoid the serious consequences of threats including inflation and a slowdown in global trade. The answer lies in the rigidity of inflation and its threat to the real economy, as well as supply chain restructuring as a result of the global ''de-risking'' dichotomy. In addition, the cooperation projects that the world must undertake will also profoundly impact the development of the global economy in the medium and long term. |