以案定編與法官員額的模型測算

The Model Calculation of Judge Quota and Workload-determined Judge Number

實行法官員額制是一項系統工程，既應當立足於法院人員分類管理現狀和法官工作實際，又必須依託科學嚴謹、全面翔實數據分析。但現有研究大多焦聚於“誰來當法官”的任職資格分析，卻多少忽視了“需要多少法官”這一前置性問題。為了提高法官 員額配置的有效性和準確性，我們應借鑒計量經濟學與統計學的建模方法，通過多重共線性檢驗將法官工作量作為確定法官員額的唯一解釋變數，而後建立以案件類型、工作任務、任務頻數、任務複雜性為核心的法官工作負荷模型，嘗試通過計算法官工作量測算法官員額。

The implementation of judges quota system is a systematic project, which should be based on classification management of both court staff and their actual work, and on the scientific comprehensive and detailed data analysis. However, existing studies mostly focus on the qualification analysis, i. e. 'who should be judge' , while the preamble of the number of posts issue has been somewhat neglected, i. e. 'How many judges,' In this paper, with the help of econometrics and statistical modeling method, through multi-collineaxity test to determine the workload of judges and using it as the only explanatory variables, then judges core workload model should be established depending on the types of cases, tasks, task frequency and task complexity, which is used to estimate judge workload, thereby increasing the effectiveness and accuracy of court staff.