英文摘要 |
This study uses Christoffersen & Stæhr (2019)’s boldness as a measure of herd behavior to explore the impact of risk tolerance on herd behavior, and at the same time incorporates the quality of news and the business cycle as moderating variables, analyzing whether the effect of risk tolerance on herding behavior will be different due to variations in news and the business cycle. The empirical results indicate that risk tolerance does not have a significant response to herd behavior, while prosperity has a positive effect on herd behavior, showing that the probability of having herd behavior under conditions of prosperity is 2.065 times more likely than having herd behavior. This study further finds that when the market is booming, it will strengthen the risk tolerance, increase the bold forecast of housing prices, and weaken the performance of herd behavior. The research results will help deepen the existing knowledge of real estate investment behavior and enhance the interpretation capabilities of theoretical models. |