中文摘要 |
在美中對立局勢加劇的情況下,東亞的緊張情勢逐步升高。2022 年8 月,隨著美國眾議院議長裴洛西訪台,中國軍隊在台灣海峽實施大規模軍事演習對抗等措施,影響所及不只是台灣,日本和韓國也不能再作壁上觀。在美國加深涉足東亞事務之際,與中國站在同一陣線,牽制美國的北韓與俄羅斯的存在感日益提升。因新冠肺炎爆發,中朝雙邊經濟關係一度低迷,但在2019 年習近平訪問北韓以來,中朝兩國關係顯然更加緊密,中國今後提供北韓大規模經濟援助的可能性很高。然而,中朝之間雖說是「同盟」關係,但其本質與日美同盟、美韓同盟有根本上的不同。對於北韓在核武開發上的作為, 中國的態度並非欣然承認。本文認為,中朝的軍事同盟關係僅侷限在一定範圍內。至於俄羅斯與北韓的關係,以現狀而言仍處於克制的階段。 Tensions are rising in East Asia amid heightened U.S.-China tensions. In August 2022, with the U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, Chinese forces implemented large-scale military exercises and demonstrated countermeasures in the Taiwan Strait. It influences not only Taiwan, but also Japan and on South Korea. While the U.S. has been deepening its involvement in East Asian affairs, North Korea and Russia, which stand on the same side as China, are increasingly aware of their presence in U,S.- containment. Due to the outbreak of COVID-19, the bilateral economic relations between China and North Korea were once sluggish; however, due to Xi Jinping’s visit to North Korea in 2019, the relations between China and North Korea have become closer. The possibility of China’s providing large-scale economic assistance to North Korea in the future is very high. Although the relationship between China and North Korea is an “alliance,” its essence is fundamentally different from those of Japan-U.S. and the U.S.-South Korea alliances. China does not readily acknowledge North Korea’s actions in developing nuclear weapons. This paper argues that the military alliance between China and North Korea is limited to a certain range. As for the relationship between Russia and North Korea, it is now still in a stage of restraint. |