英文摘要 |
The Biden era is here, and the United States is back! Under Biden’s leadership, where the world will go, this is the most noticeable focus of international politics in 2021. Now the embryonic form of the Bayesian strategy is roughly clear: 'Strengthen its own comprehensive national strength, lead the alliance of democratic nations, and continue to focus on China. Implementation of suppression'. Biden has its own characteristics for the continuation of his predecessor’s policy. For example, in the “Indo-Pacific” strategy, he still adheres to the “four-party security dialogue” mechanism and continues to contain China, but it is not a simple attack on China. It is through the simultaneous development of 'cooperation-competition-confrontation', which helps to seize the moral commanding heights in the international reality. Biden’s confrontation with China is to change Trump’s independent confrontation and turn to a multi-party joint containment. In addition to continuing to consolidate and enhance the anti-blocking function and strength of the US, Japan, India, and Australia, such as the meeting of foreign ministers to upgrade to a leader’s summit, it is even more important. The cornerstone, adding NATO national elements, will extend the line of defense against China from Asia to Europe, forming a large encirclement of the 'Alliance of Democracies' including Japan, India, and Australia. This is where France, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and Germany have successively dispatched naval ships to sail eastward. Participate in highly targeted joint military exercises in the Indo-Pacific region, and even cross the Taiwan Strait directly, as you can see by stepping on the red line of China. Among them, the one worthy of attention is India, which is located in a key geographical position. India has always refused to welcome the 'quartet' mechanism in the past. However, India is still vacillating in sensitive fields such as security and military affairs. For example, in the face of Western sanctions against Russia for launching a war on Ukraine, India has always insisted on neutrality, but major powers such as the United States, Europe and Japan have nothing to do with it, and even cut and contact to appease it. In view of this, what kind of strategic choices India may make when China and the United States compete to increase the intensity of the confrontation is actually the focus of this article. |