從外溢效果初探區域經濟整合的發展──以RCEP為例

The Spillover Effect of Regional Economic Integration: A Case Study of RCEP

當歐美已開發國家逐漸面臨高齡化與少子化的同時，東協國家以其豐富的自然資源及人口紅利成為亞太地區經貿整合的重要成員，進而形成15國聯合簽署的RCEP。本文以區域整合的新功能主義作為分析的理論架構，觀察RCEP的整合是否能以「外溢效果」推進成員國的經濟利益，並反思未能加入東亞區域整合的台灣如何擺脫被邊緣化的隱憂。值得注意的是，由於東協成員國間在經濟、人口、社會以及文化等方面皆有各自的優勢與弱點，目前RCEP協議中尚無教育水平的提升或勞工權益的談判，因此，區域經濟整合的效果，對於全球產業供應鏈的影響仍需持續關注。

While the developed countries are gradually facing low birthrates and aging society caused by stagnant population growth, the ASEAN countries have continued to devote time and effort in the trade agreements with their abundant natural resources and demographic dividends brought by young laborers. This led to the formation of the RCEP jointly signed by 15 countries. This article uses the Neo-Functionalism of regional integration as the theoretical framework for analysis, observes whether the integration of RCEP can promote the economic benefit of members with a ''spillover effect''. And reflect on how Taiwan, which failed to join the regional integration organization, can get rid of the hidden worries of being marginalized. It is worth noting that as the ASEAN member states have their own strengths and weaknesses in terms of economy, population, society, and cultureĄThere is currently no improvement in education or labor rights negotiations in the RCEP agreement. Therefore, the effects of regional economic integration on the global industrial supply chain still require continuous attention.