2012年台湾総統選分析

2012年台灣總統大選分析（An Analysis of the 2012 Taiwan Presidential Election）

2012年1月14日台灣首次舉辦總統與立委合併選舉。這次的總統大選選情相當緊繃、國民黨面臨馬英九施政滿意度大幅滑落的危機、又遭遇東山再起的民進黨來勢洶洶的挑戰、加上泛藍整合失敗下宋楚瑜的攪局參選扮演關鍵性的少數。各方在競選過程展開激烈角力、不時出現負面競選與政策交鋒。國民黨與民進黨此役最大的政策差異是兩岸議題、國民黨強調「九二共識」是維繫兩岸和平發展、企業安心成長的唯一條件。民進黨則是否認「九二共識」並提出「台灣共識」、希望透過民主程序凝聚國內共識。雙方圍繞兩岸議題上展開激烈攻防、甚至激發台灣多數大企業家選前出面表態支持「九二共識」。最後、馬英九擊敗蔡英文而順利連任、選舉結果再次呈現台灣固有的藍、綠政治版圖。

On January 14th, 2012, Taiwan held the first concurrent presidential and legislative election in its democratic history. Because of the decline in Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating, the challenge from the DPP under Tsai Ing-wen's leadership, and James Soong's entry into the race of presidency, the presidential campaign became very dramatic. The major difference between the KMT and the DPP's views was regarding the Cross-Strait relationship. While the former stresses the 92 consensus, the latter replaced it with the Taiwanese consensus. The two parties had serious debates on this issue. Finally, Ma defeated Tsai by 800,000 votes and won his re-election to presidency. This electoral outcome confirmed Taiwan's current political landscape of Pan-Blue and Pan-Green parties, i.e. KMT vs. DPP.