総統選挙が台湾の安全保障に及ぼす影響

總統選舉對臺灣安全保障的影響（Impact of the Presidential Election on Taiwan's Security）

臺灣的總統選舉對於哪位候選人會當選，有聚焦於當選者政見的傾向，在各次大選當中，亦有引發了大為影響臺灣安全保障的事態。本文的討論從一九八四年蔣經國最後的總統選舉，至最近的二○一二年第五次民選總統為止，指出其中中國大陸無法進行選舉干預的例子；或是因為中國大陸的干涉發生了反動，反而不能發揮中國大陸所期待的效果的例子；也有因為臺灣內在的因素而產生了威脅安全的可能性的情況。另外也指出了在二○一二年的總統大選中，臺灣面對如何處理與經貿交流日盛的中國大陸的關係；如何確保安全等問題。

At the time of the presidential election in Taiwan, most concern centered on the election winner and his manifesto; however, major events that have affected Taiwan's security have occurred during each election. In this paper, China's failure in attempting to interfere with Taiwan's elections will be illustrated in examples from Chiang Ching-kuo's final election in 1984 to the nation's fifth democratic election in 2012. Examples on backfired Mainland China's interference that failed to achieve expected results are also provided. What's more, examples of internal affairs jeopardizing Taiwan's security are also discussed. Finally, the paper also discusses the 2012 presidential elections, during which Taiwan was confronted by questions on assuring Taiwan's security amid the growing economic relation with China.