英文摘要 |
Chinese aspirations to become a great power in the 21st century have numerousregional implications. Beijing claims to seek a peaceful international climate so as toconcentrate on domestic development. The Chinese government asserts that it is devotingitself to its modernization drive, and the country needs and cherishes dearly an environmentof long-term international peace, especially a favorable peripheral environment. Chinacharacterizes its efforts to build the most powerful military force in the region as ''pursuing anational defense policy that is defensive in nature, and its national defense construction(resources and funds) is in a subordinate position to and in service of economicconstruction.'' Modernization of the Chinese economy is the key to China's future as a greatnation and a great power.The nature, scope, and viability of the strategic relationship between PRC and theUnited States have emerged as leading security policy issues. Among the many reasons forthis are: China'sevidently growing defense budget and its military modernization campaign;its often threatening rhetoric over Taiwan; its reputed espionage activities; and disputes overcollateral security issues, such as China's continuing proliferation of weapons of massdestruction.China's military modernization campaign, its growing regional ambitions, andmanifest U.S.-PRC strategic divergence in important areas raise a number offundamental questions for the United States. The United States must improve itsunderstanding of China's increasing capabilities, security posture, and strategicintentions. Strategic planners must systematically explore the underlying conceptand application of deterrence in the context of China. The fractious domestic debateover the nature and extent of the U.S. defense commitment to Taiwan maycontribute to dangerous misperceptions by China, thereby heightening instability.Accordingly, the President and Congress should work together, perhaps in the formof a senior level policy review group, to develop an effective compact in this area. |