檢測台灣民眾六分類統獨立場：一個測量改進的提出

Re-Examining the 6-Itemed Measurement of Citizen’s Preference on the Issue of Independence vs. Unification in Taiwan:A Proposed Advancement

現階段以統獨立場六分類理解台灣民眾的統獨偏好，大致上是以單一面向的方式，將統一與獨立分置於面向的兩端，直接詢問民眾的立場位置，此途徑雖然測量語句相當簡潔，但結果卻有相當高比例的民眾選擇「維持現狀」。對此，部分學者提出「條件語句」的測量途徑，在「中共武力犯台」及「兩岸政經落差」的條件設定下，探詢民眾的統獨立場。此法不但能有效拆解「維持現狀」者的真實偏好，也得以釐清民眾在統獨偏好上「理念」與「務實」的考量。但在測量執行與資料處理上則較為複雜，且現實條件的設定極可能隨不同時空環境而改變。對此，本文嘗試在「保持單一面向」又能「有效拆解維持現狀」的前提下，利用「正面追問」及「反面探詢」的方式，重新建構民眾的統獨立場。

It is commonly seen that the citizens’ preferences regarding the issue of “unification vs. independence” are determined by a six-itemed measurement placing unification and independence as the two ends of a one-dimensional continuum and four other related items in between. The citizens are directly asked to pick out one of the six items. This method has an advantage of being easily understood by citizens when answering questions.