英文摘要 |
The dynamic nature of the real estate market of China has posed specific challenges to researchers. It would be helpful to make policy suggestions by investigating the turning point in the real estate market cycle as well as the impacts of some fundamental economic factors. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the cycle of China's real estate market by adopting the Markov switching model. Our empirical results show that, during the period from 2004:01 to 2015:07, the average duration of the real estate market's expansion in China is longer than that of the contraction. In addition, our analysis confirms the significance of the asymmetric relationship between the real estate market and fundamental economic factors in China. |