英文摘要 |
The main objective of this research was to predict the prices of residences in Taipei City. However, there are many factors that affect housing prices; hence, in this research, which is based on hedonic prices theory and the related literature, the attributes affecting housing prices are summarized for use as research variables. In numerous past studies that sought to predict housing prices, regression analysis was the primary method used to make the predictions and to investigate the influence of residence attributes on housing prices. Recently, however, the use of Support Vector Machines (SVMs) has been adopted for such analyses in a variety of research fields, including for the forecasting of housing prices. Moreover, the use of SVMs has gradually become a very popular research method because SVMs can be used in classification and regression prediction. Compared with a variety of different methods, SVMs have been shown to have better classification and forecasting performance. In this study, Support Vector Regression (SVR) was used to set up a housing price forecast model, and this model was compared with the ordinary least squares (OLS) model in terms of forecasting performance. Residence transactions data from 2008 to 2010 for Taipei City were collected, and, after removing the omitted and extreme values, the total number of data points was 5,261. According to the results of the empirical analysis, the forecasting correctness of SVR was higher than that of OLS, meaning that SVR achieved better forecasting performance. |