臺灣參與CPTPP之SWOT分析

The Analysis of Taiwan’s Participation in CPTPP: From the Perspective of SWOT

近年來，由於全球興起一股簽訂區域貿易協定的風潮，而我國卻被排除在所有雙邊或多邊經貿合作之外，不僅對我國出口貿易造成嚴重的衝擊與影響，更讓我國經濟有被邊緣化的危機。加上，又臺灣是個以出口導向為主的經濟體，所以任何國際經濟情勢的變化皆會為我國經濟發展帶來深遠的影響。因此，本文透過SWOT分析我國參與CPTPP的優勢、劣勢、機會與威脅，研究發現我國擁有良好經貿能力這一優勢；存在著高標準要求、衝擊國內產業以及農業威脅等三項劣勢；具有分散對中國大陸的經貿依賴風險、強調包容性以及日本扮演主導角色等三項機會；最後則會面臨日本核災區食品進口爭議、中國大陸因素以及談判複雜度高等三項威脅。 As the global wave of establishing regional trade agreements continue in recent years, the fact that Taiwan is excluded from both bilateral and multilateral trade agreements not only severely hurt the country’s international trade, but also engender the potential crisis of economic marginalization. The fact that Taiwan boasts an export oriented economy makes it sensitive to changes in the international economy. Through SWOT analysis, this article attempts to analyze the advantage, disadvantage, opportunity and challenge of Taiwan’s participation in the CPTPP. This study finds that Taiwan has the advantage of good economic standing while being burdened by the demand of high standard, stagnated domestic industry and agricultural challenges. The opportunities Taiwan boasts are its ability to lower the risk of economic dependence on China, emphasis on accommodation, and good relationship with Japan. Finally, Taiwan face the challenges of contaminated food imports from Japan, the China factor and complications in trade negotiations.