本研究主要目的在分析貿易不確定性對我國菊花輸出日本所造成之影響。基於此目的，本研究首先了解我國菊花外銷至日本之情形，依當前菊花外銷之現況，建構存在具貿易不確定性之菊花供需計量模型以進行實證分析，並利用所建構之模型進行模擬分析，以進一步瞭解貿易不確定性對台灣菊花出口市場、日本菊花進口市場及運銷商之影響。
The study analyzed the effects of trade uncertainty on chrysanthemum trade between Taiwan and Japan. An econometric model comprises trade uncertainty was established and policy simulations were performed to evaluate the impacts of reducing trade uncertainty. |
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