英文摘要 |
Pension funding is a complex accounting issue that includes pension calculation along with a large number of actuarial assumptions. There should be greater analysts' earnings forecasts errors for firms with higher pension complexity. Therefore, this paper explores the relationship between pension accounting and the acquisition of private information by analysts. Using US firms over the 1988 to 2008 period as our sample, we find that, on average, pension funding does not affect analyst motivation to acquire more private information. However, the large discrepancies between amounts recognized on balance sheets and actual pension funding disclosed in financial statements represent a lack of consistency in information. For highly inconsistent cases, analysts incorporate more private information into their earnings forecasts for firms with severely underfunded or overfunded pensions, which results in a decline in analyst forecast consensus. In addition, since reliance on private information increases, a greater proportion of each individual forecast error is idiosyncratic. This increased reliance reduces errors in mean forecasts of upcoming earnings. |