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篇名
No Turning Back? Assessing China’s Intent to Use Force to Resolve the Taiwan Issue After 2018
並列篇名
No Turning Back? Assessing China’s Intent to Use Force to Resolve the Taiwan Issue After 2018
作者 Hsin-Hsien Wang (Hsin-Hsien Wang)Wei-Feng Tzeng (Wei-Feng Tzeng)
英文摘要
While many use rational IR theory to explain Chinese foreign policy behavior, this paper follows global IR to employ interpretivist theory to examine how Chinese elites understand their country’s role in the world. In particular, it explores the Chinese global order ideas of socialism, tradition, and nation through a comparative analysis of how they work in China–Russia relations, especially after China’s 20th Communist Party Congress in 2022. The first section presents a critical analysis of the realist understanding of the China–Russia–U.S. strategic triangle. It argues that the socialist concept of“united front work”better explains Chinese (and Russian) policy in terms of short-term“tactical triangles.”To probe China’s long-term global order ideas, the second section explores narratives of tradition to examine the concentric circles model of global order seen in Chinese tianxia and Russian Eurasianism. To understand these competing Russocentric and Sinocentric global orders, the third section explores how each country’s official historiography highlights narratives of the nation and especially how national rejuvenation requires correcting the“national humiliation”of lost territories. Rather than see these narratives in a linear chronological history—i.e., from tradition to socialism to nationalism—this paper considers how they overlap in socialism, tradition, and nation, a non-linear dynamic triad of global order ideas. It concludes first that further research is necessary to examine the interrelation of these three narratives: while nation and tradition are often employed to support the overarching narrative of socialism in recent years, this could certainly change. The conclusion then argues that while these narratives may be coherent theoretically, they have not been very successful in achieving Beijing and Moscow’s foreign policy objectives.
起訖頁 1-22
關鍵詞 Xi Jinpingcross–strait relationsUS–China competitionunificationuse of force
刊名 Issues & Studies  
期數 202306 (59:2期)
出版單位 國立政治大學國際關係研究中心
該期刊-上一篇 Chinese Global Orders: Socialism, Tradition, and Nation in China–Russia Relations
該期刊-下一篇 Do All Roads Lead to Rome? A Review of the Literature on Succession Politics in China
 

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