九二共識未來發展方向之研究

The Research of the 1992 Consensus Development Trend in the Future

九二共識，本來就是一個模糊的政治語彙。因為有了九二共識，兩岸才得以在彼此的法律基礎上，開始了兩岸當局彼此認同的實質交流。更創造了分裂國家一個交流與合作的模式。近三十年的九二共識，因為台灣政治情勢的變化，朝野兩黨，特別是民進黨，拒絕九二共識，同時另作一番背離原來意思的解說，動搖了兩岸穩定來往的基礎。從現實面來看，台灣關心兩岸走向的研究工作者，似乎對於「九二共識」，應提出一些見解。本文作者提出的觀點是作為一位長期從事兩岸交流的實踐者，對於九二共識內涵的解說。那就是「九二共識，一中各表」，應明確為「一國兩府，一國兩治」的現實情景。兩岸彼此接受一國兩府後，就可正式簽訂台灣不會走向台獨的「兩岸和平協議」。在若干年後的互動，條件成熟時，兩岸可以在聯合國，共享「一國兩席」的國際空間。至於兩岸以後的發展，則在台灣人民的自由意志下，進行法定公投，若通過願意與大陸統一，則兩岸實質上等同完成了國家的民主統一。若沒通過，兩岸彼此繼續創造條件，尋求可能的另一次民主統一，否則繼續維持兩岸現狀，彼此充分合作與交流，共創繁榮。

The author comments “1992 consensus” should explicitly state as “one country, two governments and, one country, two systems” instead of “1992 consensus with different interpretation” As Taiwan and China accept “one country, two government”, the “cross-strait peace agreement” can be officially signed which indicates Taiwan will not lead to independence. After years of positive interactions, Taiwan and China shall share benefits in the United Nation as “one country, two parties”, the foundation to build relationships with other countries. As for the future development of cross-strait relations, Taiwan shall hold a government-initiated referendum based on the free will of its people to determine the reunification with China. If the referendum wins, it essentially accomplishes the democratic unification. If it fails, Taiwan and China need to continuously seek consensus for democratic unification and keep cooperation and communication to achieve economic prosperity together.