南北韓高峰會的意義與前景

The Significance of and Prospects from the Korean Summit

兩金舉行歷史性的高峰會談並簽署劃時代的協定，不僅終結朝鮮半島歷經半個世紀的冷戰結構，而且也開啟兩韓「和平、和解、合作」與最終邁向國家統一的新紀元，這一發展趨勢對東北亞、海峽兩岸乃至整個亞太地區都將產生深遠的影響。為落實高峰會談所達成的共同協議，雙方透過部長級會談、國防部長會談以及紅十字會談等三個管道，進行實務性的溝通協商，已達成多項具體協議並付諸實踐，特別是在緩和軍事緊張、建立永久和平、消弭戰爭威脅形成基本共識，具有相當的象徵意義。兩韓和解使得東北的國際政治結構產生戲劇性的轉變，美國駐軍南韓與發展展全國飛彈防禦系統的正當性受到質疑，美國勢必重新調整在東亞地的戰略部署。中共同時與南北韓維持密切的關係，有助於增強對朝鮮半島的影響力，並可制衡美國與西方國家在此一地區的活動，中共從兩韓改善關得到最多的外交利益，至於日本與俄羅斯對朝鮮半島門題僅能發揮次要的影響。兩韓成功的和解，也啟動了台海兩岸人民對只存共榮、互利互助以邁向持久和平的期待。

At a historic Inter-Korean Summit in Pyongyang, the two leaders signed a wideranging agreement that not only dismantled the Cold War structure that divided the peninsula a half-century ago but also has improved reconciliation, cooperation, and peace between the North and South. Any resulting unification will, moreover, have a great impact on the situation in northeast Asia, across the the Taiwan Strait, and in the Asia Pacific region.The South and North agreed to hold ministerial talks(at the defense minister level)and discussions via the Red Cross in order to implement the joint declaration and the items agreed on at the Inter-Korean Summit. The historic summit has helped build mutual trust and confidence between the two Koreas and will promote closer economic exchanges and cooperation in the future.Based on the reconciliation and perhaps even reunification of the two Koreas, the US may have to revise its strategy by withdrawing troops from South Korea and constructing both a national missile defense and a theater missile defense in East Asia. China has benefited form the summit: Beijing appears to have wielded effective influence on the Korean Peninsula. Japan and Russia are also back into the Korean game. It is also important for cross-strait relations that both Taiwan and China should work together to build mutual trust and establish a foundation for peaceful coexistence.