從美國的「三不」分析台北對華府的外交策略

The 'Three NO's' Policy and Taipei-Washington Relations

本文旨在以台北當局於柯江會談前夕對美國採取的策略來了解台北當局策略與大環境變化之間的關係。台美關係一直是台北當局拓展對外關係及維護國家利益最重要的一環，是故台北長期以來始終以戰略價值、經濟實力及民主發展為後盾，全力經營其與美國行政部門、國會、學界和媒體的關係。一九九八年柯江高峰會議的前夕，台北是以法律與道義的承諾，及民主價值的戰略籌碼遊說美國，企圖影響柯林頓政府公布「三不」的時間或方式。然而，台北當局的策略受國際情勢的變化而有與以往不同的成效。

During his trip to mainland China, Clinton announced the 'three no's'policy as comprising official U.S. policy towards Taiwan on June 30, 1998. This paper studies Taiwan attitudes and efforts to influence Sino-US relations both during and after Clinton's trip to mainland China. 'The Menu for Choice' analogy is used to show that the choices and opportunities of Taipei's decision makers are constrained various ways and that constraints affect the willingness, capabilities, and effects of their performance.