民進黨為何攻不下農會？以2017年臺中市潭子區、大雅區農會選舉為例

Why Can't the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Win the Majority of the Farmers' Association Elections? A Case Study of the 2017 Elections in Tanzi and Daya Districts in Taichung City

臺中市各區農會長期由紅黑派系勢力所掌控，而民進黨在2014年地方政府縣市首長取得過半執政優勢，2016年總統大選後又順利取得中央執政權，在此雙重執政優勢下，卻仍然無法在2017年的農會改選中，改變農會長期由地方派系所操控的生態。本文認為，若地方派系在農會的經營上，能提高「農會經營績效」，或者維持「內部權力平衡」，即便與執政者不合，也能順利取得農會主導權。據此，本文挑選兩個背景相似但改選結果卻截然不同的臺中市潭子區與大雅區農會為例，藉由分析比較其中異同，來論證本文主張，並且也嘗試推演至臺中市其他地區農會選舉。

The district farmers' associations in Taichung have long been dominated by the local Red and Black factions. Despite the fact that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) won more than half of the mayor positions in the municipal elections in 2014 plus the presidential election in 2016, the party failed to break the deep-rooted local faction control of Taichung district farmers' associations and achieved little success in those elections in 2017. We propose that as long as the local factions could either enhance the performances of the farmers' associations, or maintain the balance of power within the associations, the factions would be able to sustain their longstanding control over the farmers' association regardless. By looking into the farmers' associations of the Tanzi and Daya Districts in Taichung City, despite their similar backgrounds, we examined how they achieved different results in the 2017 elections, and we are therefore able to substantiate our proposed views. We also hope that such analyses would be applicable to other farmers' association elections in Taichung.