全球暖化減緩政策對台灣總體經濟的衝擊

The Economic Impacts of Global Warming Mitigation Policy on the Taiwan Economy

本研究主要目的在探討全球暖化政策對台灣總體經濟及產業的衝擊。文中利用靜態、長期的可計算一般均衡模型（CGE）來建構台灣的政策分析模型，其中並以兩層的一般化Leontief（GL）成本函數來表現生產技術。接著，本文進行課徵碳稅之政策模擬，並經由模型求得均衡解。結果發現，課徵碳稅對台灣的總體經濟及能源密集產業將產生顯著的衝擊。

The purpose of this research is to assess the economic impacts of global warming mitigation policy on the Taiwan economy and its industries. A static, long-run computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is constructed and calibrated for Taiwan. The special feature of this model is the adoption of two-tiered generalized Leontief (GL) cost functions to represent the production technology. Scenarios for the imposition of carbon taxes are introduced, and the model is simulated to obtain the counter-factual equilibrium solutions. The results of policy simulations suggest that carbon taxes generate significant impacts on the Taiwan economy and its energy intensive industries.