蔡英文政権期における台湾のグランドストラテジーとしての新南向政策―かつての南向政策からの転換―

蔡英文執政時期作為台灣大戰略的新南向政策－－從過去南向政策的轉變（The Birth of the New Southbound Policy as a Part of Taiwan’s Grand Strategy under the Tsai Ing-wen Administration: Transition from the Go South Policy in the Past）

蔡英文政府的新南向政策，試圖加強發展與東南亞、南亞、澳洲和紐西蘭等的關係。這與過去的南向政策，究竟有何相異之處呢？以往的研究，多以相同框架進行各時期政府政策的靜態分析，藉此釐清其定位變化的部分內容。而本文則是藉由掌握南向政策及新南向政策的政策形成與實施過程，以闡明新南向政策的特徵。本文發現，新南向政策與南向政策的差異在於，從總統府層級自上而下的策劃政策，並且在政策協調和整合上，皆於相對高層級進行。此外，其政策內容的特徵為，同時涵蓋台灣的內部改革。上述事實顯示，新南向政策被定位為台灣的大戰略（grand strategy）之一。以及，除了具有“外部軟平衡（external soft-balancing）”的意涵之外，還具備“內部軟平衡（internal soft-balancing）”的特徵。 How is the New Southbound Policy (NSP), which aims to develop the relationship with Southeast Asia, South Asia, Australia, and New Zealand and initiated under the Tsai Ing-wen Administration different from the Go South Policy (GSP) in the past? Previous studies analyzed GSP and NSP statistically with the same framework; however, some transitions such as the difference of the positioning of policy are not yet obvious. Thus, this study attempts to identify the significance of NSP by tracing the policy creation and execution process of both GSP and NSP. Hither, it is clear that NSP, which is not similar to GSP, has had the top-down style policy creation and execution; moreover, its policy’s coordination and integration have occurred at a high management level. Also, NSP consists of both foreign and domestic policy, which gives NSP a characteristic of not only focusing on “external soft-balancing” but also “internal soft-balancing” as well. Hence, NSP plays a key role in the grand strategy of Taiwan.