台灣與中國農產品在國際市場競爭之研究──CMS 模型的應用

The Competition of Agricultural Products in the International Markets between Taiwan and China: An Application of CMS Model

台商赴中國進行農業投資，除了提供中國發展農業所需之生產、管理技術以及資本，加速中國農業發展外，也對台灣農業發展產生了直接的衝擊，特別是在台灣主要出口市場與台灣產生激烈的競爭。本研究利用CMS 模型，分析1992 至2007 年台灣與中國在日本、美國與韓國市場重要農產品的競爭狀況，結果發現台灣多數的農產品皆被中國農產品所替代。因此，兩岸的農業交流，在國際市場的競爭上，台灣已淪為輸家，故政府必須儘速提出配套措施，才能降低兩岸農業交流在國際市場上對台灣產生的不利影響。

Providing China production and management skills as well as capitalfor agriculture development, Taiwanese merchants’ agricultureinvestment in China not only accelerates agriculture development inChina but also undermines that in Taiwan. This direct shock to Taiwan isespecially evident in the competition of some main export markets. Thisstudy, exploiting the model of CMS, tries to probe into the agriculturalproduct competition between China and Taiwan in some markets, sayJapan, US, and Korea, from the year 1992 to the year 2007. The findingindicates that most Taiwanese agricultural products are replaced byChinese ones. The cross-strait interchange, therefore, turns out to be aloser Taiwan in the international market competition. Our government, inlight of this, should promptly enact some complementary measures tocushion the negative effect of the cross-strait interchange on Taiwan inthe international market.