境外航運中心與高雄港轉運量關聯性之探討——以徑路分析方法

Interrelationship Examination on Transhipment Volumes between Offshore Shipping Center and Kaohsiung Port -Based on Path Analysis

「境外航運中心」係亞太營運中心政策重要指標之一，攸關台灣成為亞太地區海運轉運中心地位，本文主要目的檢視該中心執行成效是否符合預定目標，即對高雄港轉運量是否具有貢獻。本文蒐集1997年4月至2005年10月期間，「境外航運中心」（高雄、福州、廈門航線）及高雄港每月的空實櫃轉運數據，利用Pearson相關分析及AMOS徑路分析（Path analysis），進行轉運資料間相關性之實證。結果顯示「境外航運中心」（高雄、福州、廈門航線）之轉運實櫃對高雄港實櫃轉運量確具有正面影響，即佐證「境外航運中心」政策在兩岸未直航情況下，對高雄港轉運地位具有貢獻，如政府能促使大陸擴大試點直航港口，對鞏固高雄港成為亞太地區轉運中心目標，將更具積極意義。

The purpose of the offshore shipping center is to establish Taiwan into an Asia-Pacific regional operation center. As a result, it seems that the policy implementation meets with the goal of the policy. Based on monthly data of empty and heavy container data during April 1997 to October 2005 we applied Pearson relation analysis and AMOS path analysis to prove interrelationship examination. The finding is that heavy containers handled by the offshore shipping center has a positive impact on transshipment volumes of Kaoshiung Port. In the future, Point to Point port direct link across Taiwan Strait is permitted, it will be helpful for Kaoshiung port to be an transshipment hub port in Asia Pacific region.